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The Donnybrook
Thursday, September 16, 2004
 
The "Liberal" Media Spins The Polls...

This is a phenomenon I've noticed before, but now it seems to be a tactic to trick Democrats into thinking Kerry can't win.

It goes like this:

If Bush leads buy 3, 4, or 5% in a poll, it is termed as a "solid", "commanding", or "wide/widening" lead.

If Kerry leads by a similar margin, the poll is termed "a dead heat", "too close to call", "statistically tied".

A prime example from DailyKos:

Wisconsin CNN/USA Today Gallup Poll. Registered Voters. 9/9-12. MoE 5%. (8/23-26)

Bush 50 (46)
Kerry 45 (49)

The USA Today headline:
Bush widens Wisconsin lead over Kerry, poll shows

Michigan CNN/USA Today Gallup Poll. Registered Voters. 9/9-12. MoE 5%. (No trend lines.)

Kerry 50

Bush 43

The CNN headline:
Poll: Michigan too close to call

Add to this a chorus of overzealous right-wingers yapping about "panic", "desperation", and "landslide" and you seem to have an open-and-shut case as far as this election goes...

Too bad for them, it's just premature back-slapping in an election that's still far from being decided and still (wait for it.......) too close to call.



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