12 Days To Election Day...Let The Predictions Begin!

For some more in depth race information check out Tom's rundown over at Election Predictions.

Here's how I see things going in the Senate. I'll throw out my House predictions tomorrow.

Keep in mind, I'm only looking at the competitive races...

Democratic Pickups:

Pennsylvania-Bob Casey wins by about 12%
Ohio-Sherrod Brown beats DeWine by 8-10%
Missouri-McCaskill by a razor-thin 2-5%
Rhode Island-Whitehouse takes out Chafee by 5%
Montana-Tester takes out the trash by 7%

Close Democratic Holds:

New Jersey: Menendez will hold off Kean by 5+%

Close Republican Holds:

Tennessee-Corker will hold off Ford by 3%. Ford is the better candidate, but it's still Tennessee.
Virginia-Macaca will get another term, but just barely. His presidential ambitions are kaput.

Republican Pickups:

None

Make-up of new Senate:

50 Republicans
48 Democrats
2 Democratic-leaning Independents (Joe Lieberman and Bernie Sanders)

UPDATE: Learn a little about your friendy neighborhood Republican candidates...
- posted by Brian @ 9:52 AM