Monday, November 27, 2006
How Rudy Giuliani Could Virtually Assure Himself The Presidency...
Run as an independent. Period.
The political truth is that the conservative Republican primary voters that will ultimately decide who gets the GOP nomination are NOT going to vote for a twice-divorced, pro-choice, pro-gay rights, pro-gun control former mayor of New York City.
BUT, plenty of Republicans (and Democrats, for that matter) would gladly vote for him in 2008, as evidenced by a recent Quinnipiac poll showing Giuliani as the most popular political figure in America, just ahead of Democratic Sen. Barack Obama and Republican Sen. John McCain.
Put simply, Rudy doesn't need either of America's major political parties. He's more popular than both of them. And by avoiding a primary, he can set his sites not on early primary states like South Carolina, New Hampshire and Iowa, but rather critical general election swing states like Ohio, Florida, and Pennsylvania.
If Rudy thinks he can win over hardcore socially conservative Republicans, then he's drunk the Kool-Aid of his own grandeur more freely than I could've thought, even after witnessing him donning the ol' kneepads for Dubya at the 2004 Republican National Convention.
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